Gee, Big Surprise
Headline this morning: “AP-Yahoo poll shows McCain winning back unhappy Republicans.” It’s a juicy headline that doesn’t accurately describe the story it’s attached to, which is largely about the way McCain is attracting swing voters and disgruntled Democrats. But if the Repug base is starting to feel better about McCain, the only surprise is that it’s happened so soon. For all their honking and bitching and threatening to stay home on Election Day, the base hates Democrats more than they hate McCain, and there was never much doubt that they wouldn’t come around. The ongoing circular firing squad on the Democratic side gives them cover to do it sooner.
As for the swing voters, the tragedy is that they were going to the Democrats until Hillary decided that if she wasn’t going to get the nom, she’d destroy whoever got it instead. Let’s stop pussyfooting around what we all know to be true: Obama will get the nomination, but he’s been terminally damaged by the primary campaign. McCain’s going to win in November, and it may not be close.
Posted: April 17th, 2008 under Dumbocrats, Hillary, McCain, Obama, The Primary Season.
Comments: 6
Comments
Comment from bdr
Time: April 17, 2008, 6:16 am
Pussyfooting? What do you think (I’ll speak only for me) I’ve been saying?
Comment from jabartlett
Time: April 17, 2008, 6:33 am
Regarding pussyfooting, I should have noted that present company is excluded. But I will say that elsewhere in political blog world, there’s been precious overt little acknowledgment of just how far gone this election is. People are expressing worry, but very few are coming right out and saying it’s over. I’m saying it.
Comment from Josh Hammond
Time: April 17, 2008, 7:31 am
Easy now. McBush has made it clear that he will pick a pro-life running mate, thereby alienating or at least irritating moderate Republicans. The choices will be clear. About 80 percent of the country things “we are going in the wrong direction” and McBush represents much of the same.
White, old, same stuff vs. Black, young, new stuff. Obama represents, in appearance and voice, such a contrast, that the young voters will stick with him and he’ll get the lion’s share of the independent voters. How soon we forget.
Forget the polls. The next one that counts is the first one taken after Labor Day. Historically, for the most part, whoever is leading in the Gallup poll is likely to win. That’s four months from now.
Easy now.
Comment from Max
Time: April 17, 2008, 7:59 am
I wouldn’t worry. McCain has tied himself up too deep with the war in Iraq. And others are beginning to recognize that The Basra fiasco is a defining moment.
http://www.antiwar.com/orig/hallinan.php?articleid=12703
Oh yes, the screaming and shouting and shooting and bombing can still go on for some time. But the crash is apparent, and I do not see how McCain can disentangle himself from the wreckage before the election. And believe me, it will get so bad that even the most brain numb will be able to realize it. Before the election.
Not to say we Dems should not get our act together, but all is not lost either.
And what will McCain say when the whole thing goes south, he was against from the beginning? He has gone way to far out on a limb in support for the war. If he had taken a more centerist position instead of such a “Victory at all costs” stance, I would be more worried.
Comment from Leftcoast
Time: April 17, 2008, 9:12 am
Not to put too fine a point on it guys, I’ve been saying this for months (since January to be precise) and it’s been drowned out, even ridiculed, amid all the Obamadulation here. Welcome to the dance.
It’s too easy to blame Clinton for bloodying up the Wonder King. Hillary really has pulled her punches relative to what the Pugs are going to do to him starting in August. If you really believe that Hillary staggered Obama with her bullshit campaign and her overwhelming negatives, then he has no right to be the nominee. You ought to be working hard to ensure a brokered convention. This process has yielded two fatally flawed candidates, thanks to the fuzzy-headed strategists who continue to run the Dem party into the ground no matter what the circumstances.
As much as I’d like to think that Iraq would be the trigger, that we as a nation care more about our place in the world, the economy and the environment than “old politics,” America is not going to elect a black man named Hussein, they’re not going to give a family that has been irrevocably cast as liars a second round. Not rocket science. They’ll take a venal old hack and run this country off the cliff first.
Comment from Arnel Simpson
Time: April 19, 2008, 4:15 am
The ” Mission ” has been accomplished, the repukelicans have changed us all and it ain’t very phuckin’ pretty is it ?
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